The Mounting Wave: Protest Participation in Sudan from 2011 to 2019

This article analyzes the evolution of protest participation in Sudan from 2011 to 2018 using the data provided by the Arab Barometer Surveys. It finds that participation evolved substantially in both size and demographic determinants, reflecting the strong deterioration of the population’s socio-economic conditions over the last decade. The Arab Barometer surveys are the only cross-country source of data available for Arab countries. They were collected over five different waves in the last two decades. The analysis of the data they provide allows us to see specific phenomena from a different, data-based angle. For instance, it can help us observe the changes that occurred regarding protest participation throughout different countries and time periods. In most countries, including Sudan, such changes have not just been quantitative – i.e., different shares of the population have been joining protests in different time periods – but also qualitative – i.e., different social groups have been more likely to join protests in different time periods…

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